中国农业展望报告:2017-2026:2017-2026:英文版

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中国农业展望报告:2017-2026:2017-2026:英文版

中国农业展望报告:2017-2026:2017-2026:英文版

作者:农业部市场预警专家委员会著

开 本:27cm

书号ISBN:9787511630179

定价:500.0

出版时间:2017-04-01

出版社:中国农业科学技术出版社

中国农业展望报告:2017-2026:2017-2026:英文版 本书特色

Since2014,China,drawingupontheexperienceandpracticesofcountrieswithmaturemarketeconomytoguidemarketexpectation,hasconvenedtheChinaAgriculturalOutlookConferenceandreleasedtheChinaAgriculturalOutlookReportforthreeconsecutiveyears;inparticular,theChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2015-2024)releasedinthenameoftheMarketEarlyWarningExpertCommittee,MinistryofAgriculturein2015hasprovidedimportantreferencefordomesticmarketplayersandrelevantsectorsregardingadjustingtheexpectationofagriculturalmarket.Theyear2016markstheopeningofthe13thFive-YearPlan(FYP)periodandisalsothekeystageforsupply-sidestructuralreformsinagriculture.ThefurtherimprovementofthesystemofChinaagriculturaloutlookandthereleaseoftheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025)isanimportantmeasuretoimplementarangeofimportantdevelopmentstrategiesandarrangements,includingSeveralOpinionsoftheCentralCommitteeofCPCandtheStateCouncilonPromotingtheReformofPriceMechanism,SeveralOpinionsoftheCPCCentralCommitteeandtheStateCouncilontheImplementationofNewConceptsontheDevelopmentandtheAccelerationoftheAgriculturalModernizationfortheRealizationofModerateProsperityinAllRespects,GuidanceoftheStateCouncilonAdvancingtheInternetPlusInitiativeandCircularoftheStateCouncilonPrintingandIssuingtheActionOutlineforPromotingBigDataDevelopment,andisofcrucialimportancetoreviewthe12thFYPperiodandplanforagriculturaldevelopmentinthe13thFYPperiod.ThebasicconclusionoftheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025)isthebaselineprojectionmadebyexpertsandrelevantsectors,adoptingtheChinaAgriculturalMonitoringandEarly-warningSystem(CAMES),developedbytheAgriculturalMonitoringandEarly-warningTeamofAgriculturalInformationInsituteofCAAS,onthebasisoftheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2015-2024),takingintoconsiderationdevelopmentsofmarket,policy,climateandmacroeconomicsofthepreviousyear,andbasedonspecificassumptionsofmacroeconomics,agriculturalpolicies,climateconditions,innovationofscienceandtechnology,resourceendowmentandchangesofinternationalmarkets.BaselinedatamainlycomesfromstatisticsreleasedbyChinastatisticsdepartmentsandtheagriculturalmarketmonitoringdatareleasedbyagriculturaldepartments,andalsoincludesfieldinvestigationdataaccumulatedbyrelevantresearchinstitutions.TheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025),inparticular,reviewedthesituationofagriculturalmarketinChinaduringthe12thFYPperiod,madeprojectionsonthefeaturesandtrendoftheoperationofChina'sagriculturalmarketduringthe13thFYPperiod,thuswillprovideimportantreferenceforthedevelopmentandimplementationofthenewFYP.TheMarketEarlyWarningExpertCommitteeofMOAreviewedandapprovedthebasicconclusionoftheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025).TheCommitteeiscomposedofexpertsandacademiciansfromthefollowingentities:DepartmentofAgriculturalEconomy,NDRC,DepartmentofEconomyandTrade,NDRC,AcademyofMacroeconomicResearch,NDRC,CirculationIndustryPromotionCenter,MOFCOM,ChinaNationalGrainandOilsInformationCenter,RenminUniversityofChina,ChineseAcademyofSocialSciences(CASS),UniversityofInternationalBusinessandEconomics,ShanghaiJiaoTongUniversity,DepartmentofSectoralPolicyandLaw,MOA,DepartmentofMarketandEconomicInformation,MOA,DepartmentofDevelopmentandPlanning,MOA,DepartmentofCropProduction,MOA,DepartmentofAnimalProduction,MOA,FisheriesBureau,MOA,RuralEconomyResearchCenter,MOA,InformationCenter,MOA,AgriculturalTradePromotionCenter,MOA,InstituteofAgriculturalEconomicsandDevelopment,CAAS,andAgricultureInformationInstitute,CAAS.ExpertsofthesystemofindustrialtechnologiesofmodernagriculturehavemadeimportantcontributionstotheOutlookReportintermsoftheprovisionofdataandthediscussionandrevisionofOutlookconclusions.EverychapteroftheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025)hasbeenbasedonyearsofstudyofproductanalystsandthedistillationoftheirhardworkandwisdom.Tobespecific,Chapter1OverviewisauthoredbyLiGanqiong;Chapter2Cerealsiswrittenbyriceanalysts,PengChao,ZhangHuanandGaoQiang,wheatanalystCaoHuiandcornanalystsXuWeipingandXiYinsheng;Chapter3OilseedsandOilseedProductsiswrittenbysoybeananalystsYinRuifengandXuXuegao,oilseedanalystsZhangWenliandLiSonglin;Chapter4CottonisauthoredbycottonanalystsZhaiXuelingandLiXiang;Chapter5SugariseditedbysugaranalystsXuXue,MaKaiandMaGuangxia;Chapter6VegetablesisauthoredbyvegetableanalystsLiHuishang,KongFantaoandWangShengwei;Chapter7FruitsiseditedbyfruitanalystsWuJieandZhaoJunye;Chapter8MeatisauthoredbyporkanalystsZhuZengyongandZhangXuebiao,poultryanalystsZhangLiandZhuHaiboandbeefandmuttonanalystsSiZhizhiandQuChunhong;Chapter9PoultryEggsiswrittenbypoultryegganalystsLiZhemin,LiGanqiongandZhangChao;Chapter10DairyiseditedbydairyanalystsWangDongjieandDongXiaoxia;Chapter11AquaticProductsisauthoredbyaquaticproductanalystsShenChen,LiuJingjingandZhangJingyi;andChapter12FeediswrittenbyfeedanalystsZhangQiaoandTaoSha.AllstaffoftheAgricultureInformationInstitute,CAAS,ledbyDirectorSunTanhasprovidedstrongguaranteeforthehigh-qualityperformanceandsmoothcompletionofOutlookactivitiesfor2016.ChinaAgriculturalMonitoringandEarly-warningInnovationTeam,ledbyResearcherXuShiweiasChiefScientist,hasprovidedbasicdatasystemandCAMESmodelsimulationandpredicationtechnology.Teammembers,includingLiGanqiong,PanYuehong,ZhangYongen,ZhangYumei,WuJianzhai,WangShengwei,WangDongjie,ChenWei,ZhuangJiayu,LiuJiajia,ZhangChao,RenYufeng,LiYanniandWangYu,havedonetremendousconcreteanddetailedworksuchasdatacalculation,reportrevisionandChinese-Englishtranslation.TheChinaAgriculturalScienceandTechnologyPresshasmadeeffortsintype-settingandprinting.ThereleaseoftheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025),aftertheChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2015-2024),bytheMarketEarlyWarningExpertCommittee,MOA,signifiesthefledglingofagriculturaloutlookactivitiesinChinaandthesteadyandsoliddevelopmentofthesystemofglobalagriculturalsurveyandanalysisinChina.Sincemarketsituationanalysisshouldnotonlybebasedonthelatestinformationofagricultureandrelatedsectors,andmarketdemandandsupplyissusceptibletouncertaintiesofclimate,politicsandpolicy,theChinaAgriculturalOutlook(2016-2025)couldmakingmistakesinitspredications.Wewillgraduallyexploretheestablishmentofmechanismfortheanalysisandassessmentofpredicationdeviationssoastoprovidemoreaccurateinformationforusers.Wesincerelyinvitedomesticandforeigncolleaguestoprovidevaluableopinionsforimprovingourfuturestudies.

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